资源与产业 ›› 2019, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (2): 104-111.DOI: 10.13776/j.cnki.resourcesindustries.20190410.002

• 非主题来稿选登 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于“双控”的河北省能源消费结构低碳优化研究

刘 琳1,2,于维洋1,2,王韶华1,2,边雯莹1,汪 夏1   

  1. (1燕山大学 区域经济发展研究中心,河北 秦皇岛 066004; 2燕山大学 经济管理学院,河北 秦皇岛 066004)
  • 收稿日期:2018-10-31 修回日期:2019-02-07 出版日期:2019-04-20 发布日期:2019-07-01
  • 通讯作者: 刘琳 284226321@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    河北省社会科学基金项目(HB16YJ089)

LOW-CARBON OPTIMIZATION ON HEBEI'S ENERGY CONSUMPTION STRUCTURE BASED ON “DOUBLE-CONTROL”

LIU Lin1,2, YU Weiyang1,2, WANG Shaohua1,2,BIAN Wenying1,WANG Xia1   

  1. (1. Research Center for Regional Economic Development, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao 066004, China; 2. School of Economy and Management, Yahshan University, Qinhuangdao 066004, China)
  • Received:2018-10-31 Revised:2019-02-07 Online:2019-04-20 Published:2019-07-01

摘要: 在明确基本假设的基础上,综合考虑节能减排目标,以经济增长、节能、温室气体控排、能源资源禀赋、技术进步等为约束条件,建立河北省能源消费结构低碳优化模型;根据河北省能源现状及发展规划设计参数,对2020年的能源结构低碳化进行多目标优化。结果显示:最优能耗方案无法实现经济增长目标,最优碳减排方案的能源消费总量较高且一次电力消费目标的可行性较低;最优能源强度方案综合平衡节能和减排目标,不仅能够顺利完成河北省“十三五”节能减排、经济增长等目标,而且可行性较强。

关键词: 河北省, 能源消费结构优化, 低碳, 双控

Abstract: This paper, aiming at energy-saving-emission-reduction objective, establishes a low carbon optimized model of Hebei's energy consumption structure from economic growth, energy-saving, green-house gas emission control, energy resource abundance and technical advances, which is employed to optimize many objectives of low carbon energy consumption structure in 2020 based on Hebei's energy situation and planning. The premier energy consumption plan can not ensure the economic growth objective, the premier carbon reduction plan has higher energy consumption and lower feasibility in one-time power consumption objective, the premier energy intensity plan is a balance between energy saving and emission reduction, which makes sure the objectives of Hebei's “13th Five Years Plan” energy saving and economic growth with feasibility.

Key words: Hebei province, energy consumption structural optimization, low carbon, double-control

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